Lower severe storm chances for the Omaha metro this evening

DEGREES IN THE LAST COUPLE HOURS? YOU’RE GOOD AT MATH, BILL. IT’S AMAZING THOUGH, WHEN YOU THINK ABOUT IT. AND BECAUSE THAT FRONT IS SO STRONG AND HAS COME THROUGH SO FAR, THE OMAHA METRO, IT REALLY LIMITS THE CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER HERE IN OMAHA NOT TO SAY THE ENTIRE VIEWING AREA THOUGH. IF YOU’VE GOT PLANS TO BE OUTSIDE, I HOPE YOU BROUGHT YOUR WINTER JACKET WITH YOU BECAUSE IT IS FEELING MORE LIKE WINTER TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S 30S NORTHWEST THE METRO. IT’S A RAIN FACTOR OF FOUR FOR BEING AND WORKING OUTSIDE. THAT SAID, THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, THEY ALL, YOU KNOW, KIND OF GET TOGETHER. THEY COME UP WITH THIS TORNADO WATCH AND THEY CAN’T REALLY BREAK IT DOWN FOR ME. MAYBE THERE’S SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CHANCE CLOSER TO HERE, BUT THERE’S NO WAY WE’RE GOING TO GET A TORNADO ANYWHERE NEAR THE OMAHA METRO OR THE LINCOLN AREA. AND EARLIER TODAY, THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER CAME OUT AND THEY JUST THEY MOVED THAT ENHANCED RISK BACK UP INTO THE OMAHA METRO. AND I JUST FELT LIKE EVERYTHING WAS OVERDONE. FROM THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER. AND THEY TALKED ABOUT THE HAIL, THE TWO INCHES ACROSS THE ENTIRE VIEWING AREA WINDS TO 70 INTO THE OMAHA METRO, THE TORNADO CHANCE ALL THE WAY UP TO THE METRO AT THE SAME TIME. THIS COLD FRONT IS COMING THROUGH FASTER, COLD ENOUGH THAT THERE’S A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. SO A LOT OF THINGS JUST DIDN’T REALLY JIVE AS FAR AS COMING TOGETHER FOR THE TORNADO OUTBREAK FOR OUR AREA. WE COULD STILL GET THUNDERSTORMS IN THIS COMPUTER MODEL, WHICH IS OVERDONE, ALREADY HAS A PRETTY BIG STORM WITH SOME HAIL POTENTIAL UP TO NEAR LINCOLN BY FIVE. AND THEN JUST EAST OF THE OMAHA METRO BY SIX. SO AGAIN, THAT’S KIND OF OUR WINDOW. 530 6:00 IF WE’RE TO SEE SOMETHING STRONGER IN THE OMAHA METRO AND THEN AREAS SOUTH AND EAST, THAT’S 7:00. AND I STILL THINK WE PROBABLY WILL GET SOME RAIN AND COULD EVEN STILL GET SOME SMALL HAIL UP INTO THE OMAHA METRO THIS EVENING. BUT THEN THAT’S GONE, AND IT’S GOING TO BE WINDY AND CHILLY. THERE’S ALREADY KIND OF A LOWERING OF THE CLOUDS WHERE THERE MAY BE SOME FOG STARTING TO FORM DOWN INTO OMAHA, AND WE’RE 45 DEGREES WHERE THE NORTH WIND, 43 IN MILFORD, 40 BLAIR 35 IN FREMONT HERE YOU GET IN THE 40S. YOU’RE JUST NOT GOING TO GET SURFACE BASED THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE ANY KIND OF WIND OR TORNADO POTENTIAL. AND THE FRONT IS THROUGH BEATRICE AND THE FRONT IS THROUGH PLATTSMOUTH AND THROUGH HARLAN. SO THAT’S REALLY, YOU KNOW, ONCE THE COLD FRONT GOES THROUGH, YOU’RE PROBABLY NOT GOING TO SEE A TORNADO. SO WE’RE STILL WATCHING THIS AREA OF WESTERN IOWA, BUT THE WINDOW IS KIND OF SHRINKING FOR ALL THESE AREAS TO GET KIND OF WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER. THAT’S THE FRONT. IF THE STORM GETS GOING OFF TO THE WEST, THERE’S A CHANCE IT COULD GET INTO OMAHA. AND PART OF THE PROBLEM WITH THIS SETUP IS THAT THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM IS STILL PRETTY FAR TO THE WEST. IT HAS TO BE CLOSER TO THIS FRONT TO REALLY GET THE STORMS GOING. AND IT’S NOT YET. SO MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST FOR THE THUNDERSTORMS, THOUGH PERHAPS WE’LL STILL GET SOME RAIN AND SPOTTY THUNDER UP INTO OMAHA LATER ON THIS EVENING. IT DOES LOOK WINDY AND COLDER, DOWN TO 30 FOR A LOW, BUT I THINK THE PRECIPITATION IS DOWN BEFORE WE GET TO FREEZING. TOMORROW WILL FEEL LIKE WINTER IN THE MORNING, BUT BE OKAY IN THE AFTERNOON AS WE CLIMB UP INTO THE LOWER 50S FOR A HIGH TEMPERATURE. DON’T FORGET TOMORROW NIGHT, SUNDAY MORNING WE SPRING FORWARD ONE HOUR AND IT REALLY FEELS LIKE SPRING ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. SOMEWHAT COOLER ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, BUT A QUIETER STRETCH OF WEATHER COMING UP HERE. SO WE’RE NOT SAYING THAT NOTHING IS GOING TO HAPPEN AT ALL HERE THIS EVENING, JUST MORE LIKELY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE OMAHA METRO, WHICH IS WHAT WE’VE BEEN SAYING FOR A FEW DAYS AROUND HERE. THAT WAS THE GREATER CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER. WELL, IT’S COLD OUTSIDE, BUT THAT’