Thunderstorms for some areas Friday with a severe weather risk

SUNSHINE, TEMPERATURES WOULD HAVE WARMED UP. BUT CLOUDY AGAIN AND STILL CLOUDY THIS EVENING AND STILL SOME CLOUDS INTO TOMORROW MORNING. WE HAVE BEEN STUCK WITH THIS RANDBY FACTOR ON A FIVE ALL WEEK IT SEEMS LIKE. AND AGAIN THIS EVENING IT IS A RANDBY FACTOR OF FIVE. TOLERABLE FOR BEING AND WORKING OUTSIDE TOMORROW. AND REALLY TOMORROW NIGHT. WE’RE TALKING ABOUT A MARGINAL RISK OF A SEVERE STORM. WITH THAT THREAT BEING MAYBE HAIL UP TO AN INCH IN DIAMETER FOR FRIDAY. WE’RE SEEING A CONDITIONAL RISK OF SEVERE STORMS BECAUSE THERE ARE A LOT OF THINGS GOING ON HERE. BUT THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS EXPANDED THE SLIGHT RISK TO INCLUDE THE OMAHA METRO AND THE LINCOLN METRO. AND THEN THIS ENHANCED RISK KIND OF BACK INTO KANSAS AND FAR SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA. AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL THERE. AND MAYBE FARTHER SOUTH OF TORNADO THREAT. THIS IS TOMORROW AT 6:00 IN THE EVENING. SO WE THINK WE AT LEAST GET SOME AFTERNOON SUN TOMORROW. AND THEN CLOUDS SPREAD BACK IN. AND THEN WATCH THIS. THERE’S A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS, BUT IT KIND OF DEPENDS ON WHERE THEY DEVELOP. THIS HAS IT STARTING TO POP JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT RIGHT OVER THE METRO AND THEN RACING TO THE EAST INTO IOWA. DOESN’T GIVE US MUCH RAIN IN EASTERN NEBRASKA. AND AND WE’RE HOPING THAT WE GET SOME DECENT RAIN OUT OF THIS BECAUSE IT’S BEEN SO DRY. AND THEN THIS IS FRIDAY, WE’LL PROBABLY BE STUCK WITH LOW CLOUDS THROUGH THE MORNING. AND THE QUESTION IS, WILL WE GET SOME SUN AND SOME DECENT HEATING? THIS COMPUTER MODEL KEEPS THE CLOUD SOUTH OF US. DOES BREAK OUT A LITTLE BIT OF SUN FOR US. AND THEN THIS IS THE COLD FRONT AT 330 ENTERING THE OMAHA METRO. IF WE DON’T GET ENOUGH HEATING AHEAD OF THE FRONT, WE WON’T GET ANY KIND OF WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS. SO THE TIMING IS EVERYTHING. IF THIS FRONT IS A LITTLE SLOWER, STORMS ARE GOING TO DEVELOP AND IT COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE OVER THE OMAHA METRO. IF THAT FRONT COMES THROUGH FIRST, IT’S GOING TO LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER, WHICH I SUPPOSE IS GOOD, BUT IT’S GOING TO BE COLD ENOUGH THAT THERE MIGHT EVEN BE SOME RAIN SNOW MIX INTO OUR VIEWING AREA. NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BY FRIDAY EVENING. THAT’S HOW COLD THAT AIR IS. IT’S COMING DOWN 48 AND 39 TODAY. TEMPERATURES THAT DIDN’T MOVE A WHOLE LOT AGAIN AND PRECIPITATION TO 107 INCH SO FAR THIS MONTH. AND THERE’S THAT LIVE LOOK. STILL CLOUDY AND 48 DEGREES RIGHT NOW. TONIGHT I’M FORECASTING A LOW OF 37. SO CLOUDS PROBABLY LINGERING IN WEST OF US WERE CLEARED OUT. THEY’LL PROBABLY SEE SOME FOG FORM. AND THEN TOMORROW WE START WITH THE CLOUDS AND FOG AND START TO SEE PEEKS OF SUN. BY MIDDAY, A LITTLE MORE SUN IN THE AFTERNOON, A PRETTY GOOD SOUTHEAST BREEZE PUSHES UP IN THE LOWER 60S, AND THEN IT’S AN IMPACT DAY BECAUSE THE OVERNIGHT STORM CHANCE THERE. AND THEN FRIDAY AGAIN, FALLING TEMPERATURES AS WE GET LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. BUT A CHANCE THAT THERE COULD BE SEVERE STORMS IF THE FRONT SLOWS DOWN AND THEN MAYBE ESPECIALLY DOWN INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI, IT GETS QUITE A BIT COLDER INTO SATURDAY MORNING, BUT THEN QUITE A BIT WARMER AGAIN BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY.