Severe storms possible Thursday afternoon in Omaha area

DICEY MORNING DRIVE MAY SEE A LITTLE DAMPNESS ON THE ROAD. A FEW LITTLE SHOWERS, BUT WATCHING FOR POTENTIAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AS WE HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SO AS WE’VE BEEN TALKING ABOUT THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS, THURSDAY, A SEVERE WEATHER DAY WITH AROUND SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. THE CHANGE THIS MORNING IS THE TIMING. LOOKING LIKE THE COLD FRONT WILL COME THROUGH A LITTLE QUICKER A LITTLE EARLIER. SO THAT WILL BRING CHANCES AFTER 2 P.M. OUR WINDOW IN THE OMAHA METRO BEST CHANCES WILL BE BETWEEN 2 AND 5 P.M. AND ALL DEPENDS ON WHERE THAT FRONT IS. IF THOSE STORMS WILL INITIATE JUST WEST OF ALL RIGHT OVER OR JUST TO THE EAST. BUT AS STORMS DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON, ALL MODE SEVERE WEATHER IN PLAY, LARGE HAIL, 60 PLUS MILE PER HOUR WIND GUSTS AND CAN’T RULE OUT A POSSIBLE TORNADO WITH THE EARLY ONSET OF THOSE STORMS. SO STORM PREDICTION CENTER STILL HAS THAT SLIGHT RISK HERE IN YELLOW OF EASTERN NEBRASKA, SOUTHWEST IOWA AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI. AND WE’LL BE WATCHING WHERE THAT FRONT WILL END UP BY THE MIDDLE OF THE AFTERNOON. SO REALLY, THE END OF THE SCHOOL DAY, DISMISSAL TIME, THE START OF THE EVENING DRIVE, A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE GOING TO BE OUT AND ABOUT, SO HAVE TO STAY WEATHER AWARE AS WE CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS YOU SEE HERE ON STORM PREDICTOR, HERE’S THE LATEST MODELS. IN THE MORNING WE’LL HAVE THE CLOUDS AROUND SPOTTY LIGHT SHOWERS ON AND OFF THROUGHOUT THE MORNING THROUGH THE LUNCH HOUR. NOW WATCH WHAT HAPPENS. 2:00 THIS PARTICULAR MODEL RUN. YOU SEE THE CLOUDS BREAK UP, WE GET THE SUNSHINE. WE GOT A LOT OF POTENTIAL ENERGY FOR THOSE STORMS. AND IF WE GET THAT SUNSHINE, THAT WILL ERODE THE CAP OR BASICALLY THE LID ON THE ATMOSPHERE. AND ONCE YOU LIFT THAT, THOSE STORMS CAN JUST BUBBLE UP. NOW, THIS PARTICULAR MODEL WATCH HERE THREE, 4:00 DEVELOPS THOSE STORMS NEAR AND JUST EAST OF OMAHA. THIS SCENARIO WOULD HAVE MOST OF THE METRO MISSING OUT ON THAT INITIAL DEVELOPMENT. THERE’S 5:00. NOW, SOME OF THE OTHER MODELS HAVE THAT DEVELOPING JUST A FEW MILES WEST. SO IT’S GOING TO BE A CLOSE CALL HERE IN THE OMAHA METRO. BUT IT’S REALLY THAT 2 TO 5 P.M. WINDOW BECAUSE AS WE PROGRESS INTO THE EVENING, SIX, 7:00 MORE LIKELY DEVELOPING INTO A LINE IN SOUTHWEST IOWA IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA. SO AS IT MORPHS MORE INTO LINE, THAT WOULD LOWER MORE OF THE HAIL AND TORNADO THREAT AND SHIFT MORE OF A DAMAGING WIND THREAT WITH THAT LINE OF STORMS THERE. 7:00 AND EIGHT, 9:00 PUSHING OUT OF THE VIEWING AREA. SO REALLY WATCHING THAT AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING TIMETABLE FOR THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR ANY SEVERE ACTIVITY THIS MORNING. WE’VE GOT THE CLOUDS AROUND A LITTLE BAND OF RAIN SHOWERS FROM COLUMBUS DAVID CITY UP TOWARD WEST POINT AND THE OTTAWA AREA HEADING TOWARD THE OMAHA METRO. SO OUR DRY TIME LOOKING NUMBERED HERE THIS MORNING. CURRENTLY DRY, CLOUDY, WINDY, WARM AND HUMID, 67 DEGREES RIGHT NOW THAT SOUTH WIND 22MPH. DEW POINT 60 DEGREES. SO WE’VE GOT THE MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR THOSE STORMS LATER ON. TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S TO START THE DAY. W█IND GUSTS 2025, 30MPH. SO THAT’S GOING TO KEEP UP. SO 12 HOUR FORECAST. HAVE THE RAIN JACKET HANDY. AGAIN MORE NUISANCE IMPACT WEATHER WITH SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES DON’T BUDGE MUCH THROUGH NOON. AND THEN THERE’S OUR WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY AFTER 2:00 THROUGH AROUND 5:00 HERE IN THE OMAHA METRO FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER. AND THEN BEHIND THE SYSTEM, WE QUIET DOWN SUNSHINE BACK ON FRIDAY AND THEN AN UNSETTLED WEEKEND WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS MORE WIDESPREAD ON SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY. BUT WITH THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER LATER T